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Posts Tagged ‘Obama’

NO Deal on settlments freeze!

September 1st, 2010 Arab News No comments

The Cable | FOREIGN POLICY

“…The settlements issue is the most pressing item on the agenda, because the current moratorium is set to expire by the end of September. Without some new agreement on even a limited settlement freeze, analysts fear, the new talks could break down only weeks after they begin — dealing a perhaps mortal blow to President Obama’s Middle East ambitions.
Peled indicated that there was a deal to be worked out, and we’ve heard that a compromise is in the works that would expand exemptions for building in areas that are expected to fall on the Israeli side of the line after final borders are established.
But for now, the Israeli government is making clear that the settlement freeze in place, which the Palestinians have argued is not being strictly enforced, is not guaranteed to continue. Netanyahu is under pressure from members of his coalition to let the freeze expire.
“The latest moratorium that this government took about 10 months ago was a one-time gesture with the aim of jumpstarting the process,” Peled said….”

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Obama, like Bush, winning hearts and minds

July 30th, 2010 Arab News No comments

But most view the U.S. with suspicion, support for American involvement in the fight against extremists has declined, and nearly two-thirds want U.S. troops out of neighboring Afghanistan.Nearly six in 10 Pakistanis polled described the U.S. as an enemy and only one in 10 called it a partner.”

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Obama’s Backseat to Mideast Peace Talks Before Elections (Time.com)

July 15th, 2010 Arab News No comments

Time.com – The Israeli-Palestinian tussle over proposed direct peace talks may be more about gaming the deadlock than settling the conflict. But don’t expect the U.S. to force the issue in an election season
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Outmanoeuvring Obama

July 8th, 2010 Arab News No comments

By offering nothing new, Israel keeps wrong footing Washington, writes Khaled Amayreh from occupied Jerusalem
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Yediot: Obama to Demand full Lifting of Gaza Blockade?

June 27th, 2010 Arab News No comments

I can’t speak to the accuracy, but Yediot Aharanot, Israel’s largest circulation daily, is reporting that Obama will demand a full lifting of the Gaza blockade when he meets with Netanyahu. I’m a little skeptical to be sure. Hat Tip to The Arabist for the pointer.


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"… This is not defiance, it is despair …"

June 4th, 2010 Arab News No comments


Operation “Make-the-World-Hate-Us”

In TNR/ here


“… It is hard not to conclude from this Israeli action, and also from other Israeli actions in recent years, that the Israeli leadership simply does not care any longer about what anybody thinks. It does not seem to care about what even the United States—its only real friend, even in the choppy era of Obama—thinks. This is not defiance, it is despair. The Israeli leadership seems to have given up any expectation of fairness and sympathy from the world. It is behaving as if it believes, in the manner of the most perilous Jewish pessimism, that the whole world hates the Jews, and that is all there is to it. This is the very opposite of the measured and empirical attitude, the search for strategic opportunity, the enlistment of imagination in the service of ideals and interests, that is required for statecraft….”

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Netanyahu Invited to Washington? For Next Tuesday

May 26th, 2010 Arab News No comments

Ha’aretz is reporting (exclusively, they say) that President Obama has invited Binyamin Netanyahu to come to Washington following his visit to the OECD session in Europe and a previously scheduled visit to Canada. The European visit marks Israel’s joining th4e Organization of Economic Cooperation and Development.

Interesting since lately there’s been some pressure in the US for Obama to visit Israel: by inviting Netanyahu he may be emphasizing who’s the superpower and who’s the client.

I’m posting this tonight rather late since, if it’s true, it’ll probably be in the US press by morning.


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"The damage caused by Netanyahu is worse than the threat of a nuclear Iran…"

May 24th, 2010 Arab News No comments

Eldar/ Haaretz/ here

In an overtly self-deprecating comment last week during a meeting with Jewish congressmen, U.S. President Barack Obama said he had stepped on a few mines as he took his first steps in the Middle East. The delegation left the White House assuaged, feeling perhaps that a president who has been hurt by mines would be wary of much bigger bombs. It appears that the Obama administration has realized that it will not succeed where its predecessors have failed. If no peace with the Arabs emerges from the president’s initiative, why should he fight with the Jews? When Republicans are threatening to take over the House of Representatives in six months, it’s not so bad if the Israeli occupation continues for another 43 years.

Obama’s efforts to woo Jewish politicians are like our secular politicians who make a pilgrimage to Rabbi Ovadia Yosef. The meeting with the congressmen was preceded by one with Elie Wiesel – his dinner with the president after the Nobel peace laureate called on the administration to remove Jerusalem from the negotiations. Also, two senior members of the National Security Council at the White House were sent to calm the leadership of the Anti-Defamation League. And White House Chief of Staff Rahm Emanuel held private talks with a group of concerned rabbis. All went home pleased; they were promised that Obama would not pressure Benjamin Netanyahu’s government to give back land. In simpler words: They don’t want peace; there is no need for it.

It’s possible that Obama’s withdrawal from his vision of peace (“when Jerusalem is a secure and lasting home for Jews and Christians and Muslims …. It is time for these settlements to stop …. T he continuing humanitarian crisis in Gaza does not serve Israel’s security,” Cairo address, June 4, 2009 ) will open the purses of a handful of Jewish donors to his party. However, it’s not at all certain that a business-as-usual approach toward a right-wing government in Israel will improve Obama’s lot among Jewish voters . The vast majority of them are not interested in the ethnic origin of their congressmen. Very few know the names of the Jewish congressmen who are being presented to them by Obama and his aides.

In his flight out of the Middle Eastern minefield, the U.S. president stepped on a homemade mine. He failed to address the steady weakening of the link between the Jewish community in the United States and the Jewish community in Israel. The vast majority (78 percent ) of Jewish voters voted for Obama and Democratic candidates for Congress. Peter Beinart, who comes from an Orthodox Jewish family, describes in the New York Review of Books the growing alienation of American Jews from the Zionist idea. These are mostly the young ones.

Obama’s Jewish camp is not buying the message of the poor weakling that the right wing is selling with some success in the local market. A Jewish student at Princeton feels greater affinity to his Muslim classmates than to Effi Eitam, Netanyahu’s public-relations messenger to U.S. university campuses who is calling for the eviction of Arab MKs from the Knesset. A Jewish lawyer in Los Angeles doesn’t see which justice serves as the basis for throwing a Palestinian family, refugees from the Jerusalem neighborhood of Katamon, out of their home in Sheikh Jarrah, only to put in their place settlers from the extreme right. The Jewish lecturer in Boston finds it hard to explain to his children why Israelis prevented his colleague, Prof. Noam Chomsky, from speaking at Bir Zeit University.

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Unfortunately, Obama’s mine is our bomb; over the years, U.S. Jewry has become one of the Zionist movement’s most strategic assets. This influential community’s link to the historic homeland and its influence on centers of power in the United States is one of the cornerstones of Israel’s deterrence. The damage caused by the Netanyahu government to this core support of American Jews is no better than the threat of a nuclear Iran.

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"… the value of sanctions is to slow Tehran down, not change its mind… With more time, the administration can evaluate its other options"

May 22nd, 2010 Arab News No comments

WPR/ here

“…. Where does this process go from here?


It depends. If Iran moves quickly to begin addressing the technical details needed to implement the fuel swap deal, it may convince China and Russia that diplomatic efforts are finally beginning to bear fruit. They in turn might agree that the threat of sanctions is an important goad to the process, and so keep discussion of a new resolution alive — but not move quickly enough to meet the demands of the U.S. political calendar on this issue.


On the other hand, if Iran delays or begins to raise a series of procedural issues, a new resolution could very well move ahead, as Russia has increasingly indicated that it expects some degree of flexibility from Tehran…..
As for China — or India, for that matter — they can both live with the requirements of the current draft, because it would not ban outright investment in Iran’s energy sector. But Beijing’s support might then be conditional on whether pending congressional legislation to impose third-party sanctions on countries investing and doing business in Iran contains the all-important executive waiver authority. That would give President Barack Obama the ability to prevent American sanctions from being imposed against Chinese businesses and financial entities by certifying that China is strictly enforcing existing U.N. sanctions.
But the Obama administration could run up against a growing domestic U.S. consensus that both a U.N. resolution and congressional legislation are needed — that having one without the other is insufficient. Given also that Congress wants to eliminate executive waiver authority precisely to ensure that the president cannot gut the intent of the sanctions, the Obama administration may find its diplomatic efforts increasingly complicated.
All of this increases the likelihood that we end up with a situation where everyone makes minimal concessions, while no one is fully satisfied: Iran will keep the diplomatic process alive in a sufficient manner to allow China, Russia, Brazil and Turkey to argue that some progress is in fact being made. In turn, these countries may support a new sanctions resolution that is designed to put some degree of pressure on Iran, but which will not be the decisive tightening of the economic noose around Tehran’s neck that Washington was hoping for.
It appears that the main emphasis of the draft U.N. resolution would be to target financial transactions if there is reason to suspect they might be aiding Iran’s nuclear or missile programs. However, the draft resolution would also call for efforts to intercept the transport of any material that could be used as part of a nuclear weapons program (including delivery of missile components). This would not cause the Iranian government to cry “uncle” — but it could be used to significantly hamper any rapid progress towards weapons development.


The problem arises once a U.N. resolution passes that fails Congress’ standards for action. Then the congressional Iran sanctions bill will move out of reconciliation, with executive waiver authority either gutted completely or very tightly constrained, bringing the curtain down on this act of the Iran drama.

So, my advice for the Obama administration? Avoid the “either/or” dilemma. Encourage Brazil and Turkey to continue their diplomatic efforts, while framing the proposed deal as an important first step and stressing that “goodwill begets goodwill”: If Iran agrees to the arrangement and does not attempt to sabotage it through procedural delays and administrative trickery, further diplomatic efforts are possible. Signal to the Russians and the Chinese, who have indicated that the draft resolution contains language both Beijing and Moscow can live with, that it is important to keep up the pressure on Tehran, and that the United States is not going to argue for the strictest possible version of sanctions language. And marshal every last bit of political capital needed to convince key members of Congress to prolong the reconciliation process, so that a unilateral third-party sanctions measure doesn’t end up on his desk.
Obama needs more time. He cannot allow his self-imposed deadline for “solving” the Iran crisis to become a straightjacket. Karim Sadjadpour of the Carnegie Endowment has it right when he says, “In essence, the real value of sanctions is to slow Tehran down, not change its mind.” With more time, the administration can begin to evaluate its other options.

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Israel (and America) need better than Obama!

May 22nd, 2010 Arab News No comments

USNews&WR/ here


Click here to find out more!
“….. If the Obama administration wants to leave any kind of decent mark in history for its handling of the Middle East—pretty poor so far—it should do something right now that would clear the air and save Mitchell the four months he’s allocated. It’s simple. Just invite the Palestinians to do what the Israelis have done for decades, which is to declare in the language of their own people that both sides have genuine claims to this land (not really!), that both sides have the right to live in peace, and that a viable compromise is possible….

The Israelis are clearly prepared to live with a Palestinian state along their borders. The trouble is precisely that the Palestinians are not….. Decades of terrorism have left Israelis demoralized about the potential of negotiations…..

What will make it difficult for the Israelis to be forthcoming in the brokered negotiations with the Palestinians is the widespread concern that this administration, unlike others going back to the Truman years, lacks a basic commitment to Israel, or sympathy for it…. the Israelis no longer believe that the American commitment to Israel is rock-solid. They have witnessed the erosion of U.S. support for Israel at the United Nations and more recently at the International Atomic Energy Agency. The United States has taken public positions on the settlement freeze and Jerusalem that enhanced the expectations of the Palestinians, who cannot be less pro-Palestinian than the White House and, therefore, cannot climb down from the positions taken by the U.S. administration.

… When the Israelis left Lebanon (UNDER DURESS!), Iran operated through its proxy, Hezbollah; when the Israelis left Gaza, Iran went in through Hamas, and all the U.N. and international guarantees failed to stop the attacks….Obama clearly wonders whether the current Israeli prime minister is serious about making peace……”

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